TISCO Securities: 3 Stock Strategy for Second Half

Khaosod•Economy•3d ago

Reader Briefing

TISCO Securities outlines a three-pronged stock investment strategy for the second half of the year, focusing on growth, commodity, and dividend stocks to navigate market uncertainties.

•TISCO Securities identifies ongoing uncertainties in the second half of the year, citing the Strait of Hormuz closure and rising global bond yields as key risks.
•The firm recommends investing in three stock categories: growth stocks with strong earnings potential, commodity stocks for inflation hedging, and dividend stocks for stable returns.
•Specific stock recommendations include CRC, GULF, PTTEP, SCCC, KTB, MEGA, and MRDIYT, with a focus on their suitability for the current market conditions.
•The Thai stock market index reached 1,600 points for the first time in several years on June 4, 2026.

Overview

•On June 4, 2026, the Thai stock market index reached 1,600 points for the first time in several years, closing at 1,594.79 points.
•TISCO Securities stated that the second half of the year presents significant uncertainties due to potential oil price surges and rising global bond yields.
•Prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz is predicted to cause commercial crude oil reserves to fall to a critical point, potentially leading to severe oil price increases and supply chain disruptions.
•Global inflation is expected to continue positively for the remainder of the current year, with an estimated full-year expansion of +3.4%, an acceleration from -0.1% last year.
•The policy interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 1.00% for the full year, with a potential increase of 0.50% to 1.50% in the year 2027.
•Negative real interest rates are anticipated to continue for the rest of the year, compelling investors to seek higher returns to outpace inflation.
•TISCO Securities recommends investing in three stock types for portfolio balance: growth stocks, commodity stocks, and dividend stocks.
•TISCO Securities has identified specific stocks for June, including CRC, GULF, KTB, MEGA, MRDIYT, PTTEP, and SCCC.

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Key Quotes

TISCO Securities

"TISCO Securities points out that the second half of the year still holds numerous uncertainties. This includes the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which may cause oil prices to surge sharply, along with continuously rising global bond yields."

บล.ทิสโก้ ชี้ครึ่งปีหลังยังมีความไม่แน่นอนรออยู่เพียบ ทั้งปิดช่องแคบฮอร์มุซยืดเยื้อ อาจทำให้ราคาน้ำมันดีดตัวแรง ประกอบกับอัตราผลตอบแทนพันธบัตรทั่วโลก (Bond Yields) ปรับขึ้นต่อเนื่อง

TISCO Securities

"TISCO Securities estimates that the US has about 2 months before commercial crude oil reserves fall close to a critical point, which could cause oil prices to surge violently again, leading to a new supply chain blockage and increasing the risk of high inflation and economic slowdown (Stagflation Risk)."

บล.ทิสโก้ประเมินว่าสหรัฐฯ มีเวลาอีกประมาณ 2 เดือน ก่อนที่คลังน้ำมันดิบเชิงพาณิชย์จะลดลงเข้าใกล้จุดวิกฤต อาจทำให้ราคาน้ำมันกลับมาถีบตัวขึ้นรุนแรง เกิดภาวะชะงักงันของห่วงโซ่อุปทานระลอกใหม่ เพิ่มความเสี่ยงต่อเงินเฟ้อสูงและการชะลอตัวทางเศรษฐกิจมากขึ้น (Stagflation Risk)

TISCO Securities

"TISCO Securities recommends selecting investments in 3 types of stocks for portfolio balance."

บล.ทิสโก้แนะนำเลือกลงทุนในหุ้น 3 ประเภทเพื่อความสมดุลของพอร์ต

Key Entities

Organization

TISCO Securities(บล.ทิสโก้)ℹ️

A securities company that provided investment strategies and stock recommendations for the second half of the year.

CRC

A recommended growth stock with good profit growth potential for the next 2-3 years.

GULF

A recommended growth stock with good profit growth potential for the next 2-3 years.

PTTEPℹ️

A recommended commodity stock for hedging against inflation.

SCCC

A recommended commodity stock for hedging against inflation.

KTB

A recommended dividend stock with stable profits and cash flow, offering a dividend yield exceeding 5% annually.

MEGA

A recommended dividend stock with stable profits and cash flow, offering a dividend yield exceeding 5% annually.

MRDIYT

A stock with specific positive factors recommended for June, expected to be included in the SET50 index in the second half.

CHNXT5023

An investment choice in foreign stocks via DR, recommended for its reasonable valuation compared to Western counterparts.

NEM06

An investment choice in foreign stocks via DR, recommended for accumulation as gold prices have decreased, and it operates gold mining businesses globally.

Place

Strait of Hormuz(ช่องแคบฮอร์มุซ)ℹ️

A strategic waterway identified as a point of geopolitical tension that could impact global oil prices and supply chains.

Law

SET50ℹ️

An index that the stock MRDIYT is expected to be included in during the second half of the year.