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Shangri-La Dialogue warns Taiwan hotspot risks China-US nuclear conflict

Shangri-La Dialogue warns Taiwan hotspot risks China-US nuclear conflict

MGR Online•International•1d ago

Reader Briefing

A new IISS report warns that the Taiwan issue could escalate into a nuclear conflict between the US and China, as the escalation of arms races in the Asia-Pacific region intensifies.

  • •The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) released a report highlighting the risk of nuclear conflict between the US and China over Taiwan.
  • •The report states the world is on the verge of a new nuclear arms race centered in the Asia-Pacific.
  • •Key issues at the upcoming Shangri-La Dialogue include Taiwan, the Iran conflict, and US commitment to the Asia-Pacific.
  • •China's Defense Ministry stated the IISS report is inconsistent with reality and considers Taiwan an internal affair.

Overview

  • •The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) published a strategic assessment report in London.
  • •The IISS report warns the world is on the brink of a new nuclear arms race with the Asia-Pacific as its core.
  • •The report was released ahead of the Shangri-La Dialogue, Asia's largest annual defense forum in Singapore.
  • •The IISS report states that conflict with China risks escalation to nuclear levels due to Taiwan's strategic importance.
  • •Jiang Bin, Chinese Ministry of National Defense spokesperson, stated the IISS report is 'unlikely to be consistent' with reality.
  • •Mao Ning, Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson, urged the US to act on Taiwan 'with the utmost caution'.
  • •U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth is scheduled to deliver a speech on Saturday (May 30).
  • •China's Defense Minister Dong Jun will not attend this year, sending a delegation of experts and scholars instead.

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Key Quotes

International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)
"The world is on the brink of a new nuclear arms race with the Asia-Pacific at its core."
โลกอยู่บนขอบเหวของการแข่งขันด้านอาวุธนิวเคลียร์ครั้งใหม่ “โดยที่มีเอเชีย-แปซิฟิกเป็นแกนกลาง”
Jiang Bin
"This IISS assessment report is unlikely to be consistent with the actual situation."
รายงานประเมินฉบับนี้ของ IISS “ออกจะไม่สอดคล้อง” กับสถานการณ์ที่เป็นจริง
Mao Ning
"The United States should act on the Taiwan issue with the utmost caution."
สหรัฐฯควรดำเนินการใดๆ ในเรื่องไต้หวน “ด้วยความระแวดระวังอย่างสูงสุด”
IISS Report
"Conflict with China risks escalation, potentially reaching nuclear levels, given Taiwan's strategic importance to China."
ความขัดแย้งกับจีนจะเสี่ยงบานปลาย โดยเป็นไปได้ที่จะไปถึงระดับนิวเคลียร์ เมื่อคำนึงว่าไต้หวันมีความสำคัญทางยุทธศาสตร์สำหรับจีน

Key Entities

Place

Taiwan(ไต้หวัน)ℹ️
A disputed island nation central to the geopolitical tensions discussed.
China(จีน)ℹ️
A major global power involved in geopolitical tensions regarding Taiwan and nuclear arms development.
US(มะกัน)ℹ️
A major global power involved in geopolitical tensions regarding Taiwan and nuclear arms development.
Soviet Union(สหภาพโซเวียต)ℹ️
Historical nation with whom the US had long discussions on arms control and risk reduction measures.

Organization

International Institute for Strategic Studies(สถาบันระหว่างประเทศเพื่อยุทธศาสตร์ศึกษา)ℹ️
A leading defense research center that published a strategic assessment report on regional military dynamics.
IISSℹ️
Abbreviation for the International Institute for Strategic Studies, a defense research organization.
People's Liberation Army(กองทัพปลดแอกประชาชนจีน)ℹ️
The armed forces of the People's Republic of China, whose experts and scholars will form the Chinese delegation.
Pentagon(เพนตากอน)ℹ️
The United States Department of Defense, which released a report on China's nuclear capabilities.
Federation of American Scientists(สมาพันธ์นักวิทยาศาสตร์อเมริกา)ℹ️
An organization that estimated the number of nuclear warheads possessed by Russia, the US, and China.

Person

Jiang Bin(เจียง ปิน)
Spokesperson for China's Ministry of National Defense.
Mao Ning(เหมา หนิง)
Spokesperson for China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
Pete Hegseth(พีท เฮกเซธ)ℹ️
U.S. Secretary of Defense scheduled to speak at the Shangri-La Dialogue.
Dong Jun(ต่ง จวิน)
China's Defense Minister who will not be attending the Shangri-La Dialogue this year.
Daniel Salisbury(แดเนียล ซัลส์เบอรี)
Senior Fellow at IISS who commented on nuclear discussions between the US and China.