Krungsri Outlook: Thai Stocks and Fed Interest Rate Expectations

Prachachat•Economy•11h ago

Reader Briefing

Krungsri Securities forecasts Thai stock volatility while awaiting the Fed meeting and recommending three primary investment themes.

•Krungsri Securities expects Thai stocks to fluctuate within the resistance range of 1,587-1,595 and support range of 1,572-1,565.
•There is a 92% expected probability that the Fed will raise interest rates by 0.25%.
•Investment themes highlighted include Investment, Energy Security, and the Service sector.
•Key factors to monitor include Data Center investment criteria clarity in September-October 2026 and the PDP2026 plan.

•Krungsri Securities anticipates the Thai stock market will fluctuate as the market awaits the Fed meeting results.
•The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 0.25% is estimated at 92%.
•Krungsri Securities expects the Fed to raise interest rates to reduce inflation risks before pausing to assess impacts.
•Brent crude oil prices are currently at a high level between 107-108 dollars per barrel.
•Clarity on Data Center investment criteria is expected during September-October 2026.
•The Prime Minister is conducting overseas roadshows to attract foreign investment.
•The service sector is entering the tourism season despite a short-term decline in tourists.
•Krungsri Securities identifies GULF, PTT, and AOT as leading stocks across the Investment, Energy Security, and Service themes.

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Krungsri Securities(บล.กรุงศรี)

A securities firm providing market analysis and stock recommendations.

Fed

The central bank whose interest rate decisions impact the Thai stock market.

GULF

A leading stock in the Investment theme.

PTT

A leading stock in the Energy Security theme.

AOT

A leading stock in the Service theme.