BOT: Q4 GDP Grows, 4 Risks to Watch

Khaosod•Economy•256d ago

Reader Briefing

Thailand's economy shows signs of growth in the fourth quarter of 2025, driven by exports and private consumption, though the Bank of Thailand highlights four key risks to monitor.

•The Thai economy expanded in December 2025 compared to the previous month.
•Key drivers of growth include increased exports, private consumption in services, and private investment, particularly in electric vehicles.
•Despite overall growth, the Bank of Thailand is closely monitoring four potential risk factors that could impede economic recovery.
•Tourism revenue declined due to a drop in foreign tourist numbers.

Overview

•Chayawadee Chaiyanan, Assistant Governor and Spokesperson for the Bank of Thailand, announced that the Thai economy expanded in December 2025.
•The economic expansion in December 2025 was due to increased goods exports, particularly in technology and agricultural products.
•Private consumption in the services sector improved, benefiting from government measures.
•Private investment in machinery and equipment, as well as vehicles, increased due to accelerated EV registrations before the EV 3.0 policy ended.
•General inflation in December 2025 decreased slightly from the previous month, mainly due to fresh food prices rising.
•Core inflation remained positive but slowed slightly in December 2025.
•The current account surplus widened in December 2025 due to surpluses in trade, services, income, and transfers.
•The Bank of Thailand will monitor four risk factors: the impact of a strengthening Thai Baht, tight business liquidity, industrial sector adaptability, and the recovery pace of tourist arrivals.

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Key Entities

Organization

Bank of Thailand(ธปท.)ℹ️

The central bank of Thailand, responsible for monetary policy and economic stability.

Person

Chayawadee Chaiyanan(นางสาวชญาวดี ชัยอนันต์)

Assistant Governor, Corporate Relations Group, and Spokesperson for the Bank of Thailand.